Hello Congressional District one Republicans. My name is Stephan Andrew Brodhead and I am announcing my candidacy for 2010 for U.S. House of Representatives Oregon’s Congressional district one.

The only encouraging aspect to date concerning Obamas cabinet is the nomination of Arizona Governor Janet Napolitano for Secretary of Homeland security. As Governor of Arizona she mandated by executive order the use of E-verify. If you want a job In Arizona, you will have a valid Social security number.

Our Governor Ted kulongoski on the other hand wants to monitor gas usage via a costly GPS monitoring system yet he rejects the use of E-verify for our illegal immigration problem here in Oregon? He wants to violate our right to privacy and track our every movement, yet he will not pass an executive order that mandates the use of e-verify to verify if a worker has a legal social security number and legal status to work in the state of Oregon?

In the democrat’s world, an illegal immigrant has more right to life in America than an infant that survives a failed partial birth abortion! They celebrate an illegal’s right to life in America, all the while insisting on providing avenues for infanticide for the people who really have a right to live here!

They consider having a baby a punishment!

Republicans Celebrate life! Democrats celebrate Hypocrisy.

On to Medicare

Health care costs rise an average of 10 percent a year. Health care costs will double in 7.2 years.

Medicare will grow from 400 billion to 800 billion for 45 million Medicare recipients over the next 7 years. However, there will be 5 million baby boomers becoming eligible for Medicare every year for the next 20 years. Medicare costs will be more in the range of 1.4 trillion by 2015

Meanwhile 45 million people are uninsured but are still required to pay Medicare. Many of our children are required to pay for someone else’s care while having no insurance themselves.

In the very near future, there will be only 2.5 wage earners supporting 1 retiree on full-ride entitlements.

The mean household income is approximately 44,000 a year.  

Think about it, 2.5 of our children will be required to fund 1 baby boomer on entitlements, rampant federal government spending, and state government all on a mean household income of $44,000

The first words out of Obamas camp after the CBO (Congressional Budget Office) forecasted a 1.2 trillion deficit for 2009 should have been “we are going to attack the budget and work on controlling entitlements”. Instead he wants to add upwards of 1.3 trillion to the current deficit!

In fiscal year 2009 the government will take in 2.4 trillion in hard tax revenue. The 2009 budget is 3.1 trillion. When we add 800 billion in bailouts, the 250 billion Fannie/Freddie debacle programs, and Obamas economic proposals, we will have a federal budget approaching 4.5 to 5 trillion dollars, of which over 1.6 trillion will be deficit spending. This is approximately, twice hard government revenue and 3 times the size of Bill Clinton’s last federal budget.  

Our seniors paid in their whole lives for social security so federal government should be on the chopping block not social security for our seniors. We should ask the government to cut their ranks and not insist on taking food out of the mouths of the people who paid their fat government salaries over a working lifetime.

Obama told seniors at senior home in Gresham not to long ago that John McCain would take away their social security checks. Now he is abandoning his campaign rhetoric and is now talking about the very thing he falsely accused John McCain of wanting to do, while government exceeds 40 percent of GDP.

Let’s look at Medicare a little deeper. Per the Concord Coalition headed by David Walker ( who was the chief accounting officer for the GAO Government Accounting Office), Medicare costs per individual range from about 5,000 in one state to almost 16,000 in another state.

Let’s say it costs 5,000 per recipient in Seaside while it costs $16,000 per recipient in BostonMassachusetts. This alone tells us that with much more standardization and procedural rules, costs could be reduced across the board to $5,000 per individual per year. When I was volunteering for Duncan Hunter, we had several conversations on Medicare corruption and administration costs.

In some cases the administration costs are 30 to 50 percent of the Medicare bill. When we factor out this cost we can reduce Medicare costs per individual from $5000 to conceivably $4000. We could conceivably reduce Medicare from over 400 billion a year to 200 billion. This is about what the Germans pay per individual per year for the entire population or about $333 billion for 80 million people while we pay over $400 billion for 45 million retired boomers or $654 per individual per month. If nothing is done, this $400 billion will grow to about 1.4 trillion by the middle of Sarah Palin’s first term in office.

200 billion would fund an expansion of the   Veteran’s Administration system and would cover 50 million seniors! 

Of course the average cost of private sector insurance for a family will basically double in the same time period from $4800 to about $10,000 if we do not enact price controls on Healthcare and deregulate the health Insurance industry!

During Bill Clintons 2^nd term in office the Federal budget grew from 1.6 trillion to 1.7 trillion with zero deficit spending.   During Mr. Bush’s presidency federal spending ballooned from 1.7 trillion with no deficit spending to 3.1 trillion of which 600 billion was deficit spending. If we add in the bailout it grows to over 4 trillion or approaching 30 percent of GDP.  

Ladies and Gentlemen as Republicans we must work harder to regain the torch of fiscal responsibility. In order to do this we will have to insist on fiscal measures that are as drastic as what we had to do after WW2. We must cut federal government spending. We have no choice.

I do not understand how we can have a growing GDP when 5 million Boomers will be leaving the workforce each year with a resultant loss of tax contribution. The GDP is forecasted to retract by 2.2 percent this year.  In addition, Obama stated he was going to eliminate all income taxes on seniors making less than $50,000 a year. This means, (by his own) words, 5 million less taxpayers per year. The forecasts for 2010 are a GDP growth of a little over 1 percent! I do not understand how this can be when another 5 million baby boomers will be retiring?

Do our current law makers really believe we can spend our way out of this dilemma and fund government at this level of ineptitude?

The U.S. currently spends 16 percent of GDP on Healthcare. It could grow to over 2O percent of GDP in 7.2 years. Finland provides Universal Health care for their entire population for 10 percent of GDP.

Is it conceivable that Federal Government spending and health care costs combined will be over 50 percent of GDP in just a decade? Will 50 cents of every dollar produced in America go to only bloated federal government and the false economy of U.S. style Healthcare?

Previous CBO reports were based on wishful thinking, a growing GDP and squeezing every bit of marginal productivity out of the labor force. It also depended on a high performance retail sector, and a negative savings rate. Given, the depth of our current economic meltdown, I feel most data that comes out of Washington does not reflect what is actually happening. I think they fudge the numbers a bit

Socialism is not the solution to fiscal stupidity!

This is what government will attempt to do over the next 4 years. In lieu of rolling spending back to 2001 levels or 20 percent of GDP, they will ask for more tax base in the name of expensive Health Care for all. They will offer up healthcare off the backs of small business in order to garner more tax revenue and call it socialized medicine. This is a false definition. Our current system of medical insurance, with its Malpractice insurance, malpractice awards, associations, pre existing conditions, and extreme profit motives cannot be categorized as Socialized medicine. Mandating that small business pay for this kind of system is tantamount to mandating the support of a corrupt trust and is unconstitutional. In addition, because rising Medicare costs will threaten the general Welfare of our children and their economic wellbeing in the coming years, Medicare could be considered unconstitutional. No where in the constitution does it state 2.5 people must support 1 person on full ride entitlements!

5 million Baby Boomers leaving the work place every year for the next 20 years will create a severe shortage in the work force. Who will replace that accountant or health Care professional? Who will replace that teacher, policeman, or federal worker? This will present extreme opportunity for our young, as well as minorities, if they set appropriate vocational goals. By 2012, it is possible that 20 million seniors will leave the work force. This represents well over 15 percent of the work force. Wages will grow as companies compete for an educated work force. I believe this will further complicate the off shoring problem, since China’s unemployed (200 million) dwarfs even our total work force! I believe this will further complicate the immigration problem also.  

Traditionally our economy functions best when combined federal spending is below 20 percent of GDP. And since we have shipped millions of manufacturing jobs to China it has become even more valid today.

 Ladies and gentlemen collectively and with resolve, we must come up with better ideas for healthcare and government that will not doom our children to a life time of social servitude. We must offer them a better alternative. We must offer them a better deal. We must force government to curtail its spending or it threatens the very tax base it depends on. We must come up with a compromise that honors the commitments to our older tax payers while preserving the future for our children. Social security is sustainable. Medicare on the other hand is not, not in its present form.

One last thing!

The average wage in china is $13.00 dollars a day or 1/3 of what we pay a baby sitter per hour.

How much revenue is generated for social programs here at home off of a $1.50 an hour in China?

Free trade is not Fair trade!

Our current military budget is $650 billion. Chinas military budget is $50 billion. That does not tell the real story. China can employ 20 workers for what we pay a single military contract worker. Their military budget looks more like 500 billion to me!

China artificially devalues its currency by at least 40 percent and has very little imbedded taxation in its export market

How can we compete with that?  

We buy 150,000 Korean made cars while they buy 5,000 from us. We pump billions into their economy and protect their border and they can only see fit to buy 5,000 cars from us a year! Is that fair and free trade?

Now GM is forced to buy Lithium ION batteries from Korea for their new Hybrid cars! Why aren’t we building Lithium ION battery plants here in America? Wht isn’t David WU asking for money from the bail out fund, so we can build a Lithium Battery Plant in CD1?

With your help and support, I will fight to reduce government, fix the illegal immigration problem, demand fair trade, and forge a better deal for our children. I will ask nothing in return and will donate my congressional wage to Oregon based charities.  

If you look at the contributions and achievements of my family since Valley Forge, you will see we think big and act prudently with resolve. We are die hard American patriots.   

David Wu’s greatest legislative achievements on the other hand are renaming a post office, some high dollar polyester tee shirts, wholesale slaughter of the unborn, defeatism on the world stage, and going along with Tax and spend Washington insiders.

Unlike David Wu I served in Iraq and supported the troops! I rooted for a win win, while David Wu sat on the sidelines and commiserated with his liberal defeatist cronies! While I was Medivacing our wounded patriots from Iraq he was cheerleading for the left and providing aid and comfort to the enemy. Isn’t about time Oregonians cut him from the payroll?

www.StephanAndrewBrodheadForOregon.com

Thank you!